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References from Application of synthetic scenarios to address water resource concerns: A management-guided case study from the Upper Colorado River Basin. Local targets link to admitted publications; unresolved targets remain external evidence.
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The amplitude of decadal to multidecadal variability in precipitation simulated by state-of-the-art climate models
10.1029/2012gl053424 · 2012 · External reference
Assessing the risk of persistent drought using climate model simulations and paleoclimate data
10.1175/jcli-d-12-00282.1 · 2014 · External reference
Comparison of CMIP3 and CMIP5 projected hydrologic conditions in the Upper Colorado River Basin
10.1002/joc.4594 · 2016 · External reference
When will Lake Mead go dry?
10.1029/2007wr006704 · 2008 · External reference
Snowmelt rate dictates streamflow
10.1002/2016gl069690 · 2016 · External reference
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A review of catchment experiments to determine the effect of vegetation changes on water yield and evapotranspiration
10.1016/0022-1694(82)90117-2 · 1982 · External reference
The effects of climate change on the hydrology and water resources of the Colorado River basin
10.1023/b:clim.0000013684.13621.1f · 2004 · External reference
A multimodel ensemble approach to assessment of climate change impacts on the hydrology and water resources of the Colorado River basin
2007 · External reference
Characterizing uncertainty of the hydrologic impacts of climate change
10.1007/s40641-016-0034-x · 2016 · External reference
Long-term aridity changes in the western United States
10.1126/science.1102586 · 2004 · External reference
Physiographically sensitive mapping of climatological temperature and precipitation across the conterminous United States
10.1002/joc.1688 · 2008 · External reference
Uncertainty in climate change projections: the role of internal variability
10.1007/s00382-010-0977-x · 2012 · External reference
ENSO and Pacific decadal variability in the Community Climate System Model version 4
10.1175/jcli-d-11-00301.1 · 2012 · External reference
Projecting North American climate over the next 50 years: uncertainty due to internal variability
10.1175/jcli-d-13-00451.1 · 2014 · External reference
Effects of rainfall, vegetation, and microtopography on infiltration and runoff
10.1029/91wr01585 · 1991 · External reference
Verification of National Weather Service ensemble streamflow predictions for water supply forecasting in the Colorado Basin
10.1175/1525-7541(2003)004<1105:vonwse>2.0.co;2 · 2003 · External reference
Beyond annual streamflow reconstructions for the Upper Colorado River Basin: a paleo-water-balance approach
10.1002/2015wr017283 · 2015 · External reference
Evaluating climate change over the Colorado River basin using regional climate models
10.1029/2010jd015278 · 2011 · External reference
Moisture flux convergence in regional and global climate models: Implications for droughts in the southwestern United States under climate change
10.1029/2012gl051560 · 2012 · External reference
Hydrological model uncertainty due to precipitation-phase partitioning methods
10.1002/hyp.10214 · 2014 · External reference
The implications of climate change scenario selection for future streamflow projection in the upper Colorado River basin
2012 · External reference
Does including soil moisture observations improve operational streamflow forecasts in snow-dominated watersheds?
10.1111/1752-1688.12490 · 2016 · External reference
The potential to narrow uncertainty in regional climate predictions
10.1175/2009bams2607.1 · 2009 · External reference
Irreducible uncertainty in near-term climate projections
10.1007/s00382-015-2806-8 · 2016 · External reference
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A bootstrap method for estimating uncertainty of water quality trends
10.1016/j.envsoft.2015.07.017 · 2015 · External reference
Past peak water in the Southwest
2007 · External reference
Implementation and evaluation of a monthly water balance model over the U.S. on an 800 m grid
10.1002/2016wr018665 · 2016 · External reference
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Trends in snowfall versus rainfall in the western United States
10.1175/jcli3850.1 · 2006 · External reference
Effects of baseline conditions on the simulated hydrologic response to projected climate change
10.1175/2011ei378.1 · 2011 · External reference
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Warming may create substantial water supply shortages in the Colorado River basin
10.1029/2007gl031764 · 2007 · External reference
Independent effects of temperature and precipitation on modeled runoff in the conterminous United States
10.1029/2011wr010630 · 2011 · External reference
Evidence that recent warming is affecting upper Colorado River flows
10.1175/ei-d-17-0007.1 · 2017 · External reference
Medieval drought in the upper Colorado River basin
10.1029/2007gl029988 · 2007 · External reference
Effects of different regional climate model resolution and forcing scales on projected hydrologic changes
10.1016/j.jhydrol.2016.08.010 · 2016 · External reference
Global pattern of trends in streamflow and water availability in a changing climate
10.1038/nature04312 · 2005 · External reference
Implications of the methodological choices for hydrologic portrayals of climate change over the contiguous United States: statistically downscaled forcing data and hydrologic models
10.1175/jhm-d-14-0187.1 · 2016 · External reference
Creating a topoclimatic daily air temperature dataset for the conterminous United States using homogenized station data and remotely sensed land skin temperature
10.1002/joc.4127 · 2015 · External reference
Artificial amplification of warming trends across the mountains of the western United States
10.1002/2014gl062803 · 2015 · External reference
Response of Colorado River runoff to dust radiative forcing in snow
10.1073/pnas.0913139107 · 2010 · External reference
How does spatial variability of climate affect catchment and streamflow predictions?
10.1016/j.jhydrol.2014.05.017 · 2014 · External reference
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2008 · External reference
A k-nearest-neighbor simulator for daily precipitation and other weather variables
10.1029/1999wr900028 · 1999 · External reference
High-resolution coupled climate runoff simulations of seasonal snowfall over Colorado: a process study of current and warmer climate
10.1175/2010jcli3985.1 · 2011 · External reference
Model projections of an imminent transition to a more arid climate in southwestern North America
10.1126/science.1139601 · 2007 · External reference
Projections of declining surface-water availability for the southwestern United States
10.1038/nclimate1787 · 2013 · External reference
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Shifts in historical streamflow extremes in the Colorado River Basin
2017 · External reference
The 21st Century Colorado River hot drought and implications for the future
10.1002/2016wr019638 · 2017 · External reference
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Hydrologic sensitivities of Colorado River runoff to changes in precipitation and temperature
10.1175/jhm-d-11-069.1 · 2012 · External reference
Understanding uncertainties in future Colorado River streamflow
10.1175/bams-d-12-00228.1 · 2014 · External reference
Selecting climate change scenarios using impact-relevant sensitivities
10.1002/2015gl063208 · 2015 · External reference
Developing evaluation indicators to improve the process of coproducing usable climate science
10.1175/wcas-d-16-0008.1 · 2017 · External reference
Robust adaptation to climate change
10.1002/wea.543 · 2010 · External reference
Updated streamflow reconstructions for the upper Colorado River basin
10.1029/2005wr004455 · 2006 · External reference
Increasing influence of air temperature on upper Colorado River streamflow
10.1002/2015gl067613 · 2016 · External reference