Research graph
References from ‘What is a realistic forecast?’ Assessing data-driven weather forecasts, a journey from verification to falsification. Local targets link to admitted publications; unresolved targets remain external evidence.
The devil in the data: machine learning & the theory-free ideal
2023 · External reference
The quiet revolution of numerical weather prediction
10.1038/nature14956 · 2015 · External reference
Accuracy versus activity
10.21957/8b50609a0f · 2024 · External reference
Prévisions météorologiques reposant sur l’intelligence artificielle : une révolution peut en cacher une autre
10.37053/lameteorologie-2024-0058 · 2024 · External reference
10.1127/0941-2948/2009/416
10.1127/0941-2948/2009/416 · 1904 · External reference
La prévision du temps par IA devient opérationnelle au CEPMMT
10.37053/lameteorologie-2025-0051 · 2025 · External reference
Reliability, sufficiency and the decomposition of proper scores
10.1002/qj.456 · 2009 · External reference
Do AI models produce better weather forecasts than physics-based models? A quantitative evaluation case study of Storm Ciarán
10.1038/s41612-024-00638-wa · 2024 · External reference
Measuring sharpness of AI-Generated meteorological imagery
10.1175/aies-d-24-0083.1 · 2025 · External reference
Probabilistic measures afford fair comparisons of AIWP and NWP model output
10.1175/aies-d-25-0054.1 · 2026 · External reference
Representing the Surface Ocean in ECMWF’s data-driven forecasting system AIFS
2026 · External reference
Dynamical tests of a deep learning weather prediction model
10.1175/aies-d-23-0090.1 · 2024 · External reference
An assessment of how domain experts evaluate machine learning in operational meteorology
10.1175/waf-d-24-0144.1 · 2025 · External reference
The ERA5 global reanalysis
10.1002/qj.3803 · 2020 · External reference
A treatise of human nature
1793 · External reference
PhysMetrics Weather: an evaluation framework for physical consistency in ML weather models
2026 · External reference
Unresolved reference
2019 · External reference
Using data assimilation tools to dissect GraphDOP
2025 · External reference
Can AI weather models predict beyond two weeks? a quantitative benchmark and analysis of long rollouts
2026 · External reference
The origins of computer weather prediction and climate modeling
10.1016/j.jcp.2007.02.034 · 2008 · External reference
Diagnostic methods for understanding the origin of forecast errors
10.1002/qj.3072 · 2017 · External reference
Making the black box more transparent: understanding the physical implications of machine learning
10.1175/bams-d-18-0195.1 · 2019 · External reference
AIFS 1.1.0: an update to ECMWF’s machine-learned weather forecast model AIFS
10.5194/egusphere-2025-4716 · 2025 · External reference
Interpretable Machine Learning
2025 · External reference
Skill scores based on the mean square error and their relationships to the correlation coefficient
10.1175/1520-0493 · 1988 · External reference
What Is a good forecast? An essay on the nature of goodness in weather forecasting
10.1175/1520-0434 · 1993 · External reference
Whose weather is it? a fairness framework for data-driven weather forecasting
10.1088/1748-9326/ae21f5 · 2025 · External reference
Evaluating training strategies in tropical cyclone forecasts
10.21957/d7d335141c · 2024 · External reference
10.4324/9780203994627
10.4324/9780203994627 · 1959 · External reference
Hallucination, reliability, and the role of generative AI in science
2025 · External reference
Skill and relative economic value of the ECMWF ensemble prediction system
10.1002/qj.49712656313 · 2000 · External reference
Power Spectra of Physics-Based and Data-Driven Ensembles
10.1002/met.70071 · 2025 · External reference
On the effective resolution of AI weather prediction models
10.1175/aies-d-25-0121.1 · 2025 · External reference
Improving AI weather prediction models using global mass and energy conservation schemes
10.1029/2025ms005138 · 2025 · External reference
Survey of common verification methods in meteorology
1989 · External reference
Unresolved reference
2010 · External reference