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References from Forecasting HIV Incidence in Somalia Using Single and Hybrid Time Series Models: A Comparative Analysis. Local targets link to admitted publications; unresolved targets remain external evidence.
Updated data and methods for the 2023 UNAIDS HIV estimates.
10.1097/qai.0000000000003344 · 2024 · External reference
The global burden of HIV.
10.1016/j.clindermatol.2024.02.001 · 2024 · External reference
10.1016/j.red.2020.10.002
10.1016/j.red.2020.10.002 · 2020 · External reference
Global, regional, and national burden of HIV/AIDS, 1990–2021, and forecasts to 2050, for 204 countries and territories: the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021.
10.1016/s2352-3018(24)00212-1 · 2024 · External reference
The burden of tuberculosis in Somalia is driven by poverty displacement and overcrowding and a fragile health system.
10.1186/s12982-026-01893-3 · 2026 · External reference
HIV Transmission Misconceptions and Their Associated Factors Among Reproductive-Age Women in Somalia: Findings from a Nationwide Study.
10.2147/idr.s514775 · 2025 · External reference
Statistical modelling and forecasting of HIV and anti-retroviral therapy cases by time-series and machine learning models.
10.1038/s41598-025-10882-6 · 2025 · External reference
Modeling and Projecting Malaria Incidence in Somalia: A Dual-Approach Framework Combining Statistical Forecast Accuracy with Mechanistic Epidemiological Insight.
10.21203/rs.3.rs-8670933/v1 · 2026 · External reference
forecastHybrid: Convenient functions for ensemble time series forecasts.
2020 · External reference
Combining forecasts: A review and annotated bibliography.
10.1016/0169-2070(89)90012-5 · 1989 · External reference
Another look at measures of forecast accuracy.
10.1016/j.ijforecast.2006.03.001 · 2006 · External reference
On the asymmetry of the symmetric MAPE.
10.1016/s0169-2070(99)00007-2 · 1999 · External reference
Incidence of HIV, ages 15-49 (per 1,000 uninfected population ages 15-49) (SH.HIV.INCD.ZS) - Somalia.
2026 · External reference
Forecasting HIV Incidence in Somalia Using Single and Hybrid Time Series Models: A Comparative Analysis.
10.5281/zenodo.22677268 · 2026 · External reference
