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References from Nonlinear effects of noise on outbreaks of mosquito-borne diseases. Local targets link to admitted publications; unresolved targets remain external evidence.
Unresolved reference
2022 · External reference
The global distribution and burden of dengue
10.1038/nature12060 · 2013 · External reference
Assessing the global dengue burden: Incidence, mortality, and disability trends over three decades
2025 · External reference
Global trends in emerging infectious diseases
10.1038/nature06536 · 2008 · External reference
Emerging infectious diseases of wildlife--threats to biodiversity and human health
10.1126/science.287.5452.443 · 2000 · External reference
Emerging and Re-emerging Vector-Borne Infectious Diseases and the Challenges for Control: A Review
10.3389/fpubh.2021.715759 · 2021 · External reference
Precipitation variability increases in a warmer climate
10.1038/s41598-017-17966-y · 2017 · External reference
Change in the magnitude and mechanisms of global temperature variability with warming
10.1038/nclimate3381 · 2017 · External reference
10.1017/cbo9781139177245
10.1017/cbo9781139177245 · 2012 · External reference
Climate variability and vulnerability to climate change: a review
10.1111/gcb.12581 · 2014 · External reference
The ecology of climate change and infectious diseases
10.1890/08-0079.1 · 2009 · External reference
Thermal biology of mosquito-borne disease
10.1111/ele.13335 · 2019 · External reference
Impacts of host availability and temperature on mosquito‐borne parasite transmission
2024 · External reference
Climate change and infectious diseases: from evidence to a predictive framework
10.1126/science.1239401 · 2013 · External reference
Temperature impacts on dengue incidence are nonlinear and mediated by climatic and socioeconomic factors: A meta-analysis
10.1371/journal.pclm.0000152 · 2024 · External reference
Understanding the link between malaria risk and climate
10.1073/pnas.0903423106 · 2009 · External reference
Ross, macdonald, and a theory for the dynamics and control of mosquito-transmitted pathogens
10.1371/journal.ppat.1002588 · 2012 · External reference
Do simple models lead to generality in ecology?
10.1016/j.tree.2013.05.022 · 2013 · External reference
The challenges of modeling and forecasting the spread of COVID-19
10.1073/pnas.2006520117 · 2020 · External reference
Resolving the impact of waiting time distributions on the persistence of measles
10.1098/rsif.2009.0284 · 2010 · External reference
Understanding the persistence of measles: reconciling theory, simulation and observation
10.1098/rspb.2001.1898 · 2002 · External reference
Risks of Population Extinction from Demographic and Environmental Stochasticity and Random Catastrophes
10.1086/285580 · 1993 · External reference
A general theory of environmental noise in ecological food webs
10.1086/286116 · 1998 · External reference
Demographic and Environmental Stochasticity-Concepts and Definitions
10.2307/2533838 · 1998 · External reference
Environmental stochasticity
2017 · External reference
Influence of vectors’ risk-spreading strategies and environmental stochasticity on the epidemiology and evolution of vector-borne diseases: the example of Chagas’ disease
10.1371/journal.pone.0070830 · 2013 · External reference
A stochastic vector-borne epidemic model: Quasi-stationarity and extinction
10.1016/j.mbs.2017.05.004 · 2017 · External reference
Estimating malaria transmission from humans to mosquitoes in a noisy landscape
10.1098/rsif.2015.0478 · 2015 · External reference
A mathematical framework for critical transitions: Bifurcations, fast–slow systems and stochastic dynamics
10.1016/j.physd.2011.02.012 · 2011 · External reference
Balls, cups, and quasi-potentials: quantifying stability in stochastic systems
10.1890/15-1047.1 · 2016 · External reference
Integrating the underlying structure of stochasticity into community ecology
10.1002/ecy.2922 · 2020 · External reference
Extinction thresholds in deterministic and stochastic epidemic models
10.1080/17513758.2012.665502 · 2012 · External reference
Probability of a disease outbreak in stochastic multipatch epidemic models
10.1007/s11538-013-9848-z · 2013 · External reference
An introduction to stochastic processes with applications to biology
2024 · External reference
Avoidable errors in the modelling of outbreaks of emerging pathogens, with special reference to Ebola
2015 · External reference
Methods for detecting early warnings of critical transitions in time series illustrated using simulated ecological data
10.1371/journal.pone.0041010 · 2012 · External reference
Alternative stable states, tipping points, and early warning signals of ecological transitions
2020 · External reference
How Stochasticity Influences Leading Indicators of Critical Transitions
10.1007/s11538-018-0429-z · 2018 · External reference
Transient indicators of tipping points in infectious diseases
10.1098/rsif.2020.0094 · 2020 · External reference
Leading indicators of mosquito-borne disease elimination
10.1007/s12080-015-0285-5 · 2016 · External reference
Synchrony of sylvatic dengue isolations: a multi-host, multi-vector SIR model of dengue virus transmission in Senegal
10.1371/journal.pntd.0001928 · 2012 · External reference
A simulation model of the epidemiology of urban dengue fever: literature analysis, model development, preliminary validation, and samples of simulation results
10.4269/ajtmh.1995.53.489 · 1995 · External reference
Modelling trade‐offs between mortality and fitness associated with persistent blood feeding by mosquitoes
10.1046/j.1461-0248.1999.22055.x · 1999 · External reference
Multi-season transmission model of Eastern Equine Encephalitis
10.1371/journal.pone.0272130 · 2022 · External reference
Spraying of male mating swarms as a novel vector control intervention: Insights from a mathematical model
2017 · External reference
Spatial dynamics of malaria transmission
2023 · External reference
Vector bionomics and vectorial capacity as emergent properties of mosquito behaviors and ecology
2020 · External reference
Attacking the mosquito on multiple fronts: Insights from the Vector Control Optimization Model (VCOM) for malaria elimination
10.1371/journal.pone.0187680 · 2017 · External reference
Mapping Physiological Suitability Limits for Malaria in Africa Under Climate Change
10.1089/vbz.2015.1822 · 2015 · External reference
Past and future spread of the arbovirus vectors Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus
10.1038/s41564-019-0376-y · 2019 · External reference
Mechanistic Models of Infectious Disease and Their Impact on Public Health
10.1093/aje/kww021 · 2016 · External reference
Impact of daily temperature fluctuations on dengue virus transmission by Aedes aegypti
10.1073/pnas.1101377108 · 2011 · External reference
Fluctuations at a low mean temperature accelerate dengue virus transmission by Aedes aegypti
10.1371/journal.pntd.0002190 · 2013 · External reference
The Effect of Fluctuating Incubation Temperatures on West Nile Virus Infection in Culex Mosquitoes
10.3390/v13091822 · 2021 · External reference
Influence of climate on malaria transmission depends on daily temperature variation
10.1073/pnas.1006422107 · 2010 · External reference
Diurnal Temperature Range and Chikungunya Virus Infection in Invasive Mosquito Vectors
10.1093/jme/tjx182 · 2018 · External reference
Humidity - The overlooked variable in the thermal biology of mosquito-borne disease
10.1111/ele.14228 · 2023 · External reference
The Outcome of a Stochastic Epidemic--A Note on Bailey’s Paper
1955 · External reference
Optimal temperature for malaria transmission is dramatically lower than previously predicted
10.1111/ele.12015 · 2013 · External reference
Seasonal synchrony: the key to tick-borne encephalitis foci identified by satellite data
10.1017/s0031182099006083 · 2000 · External reference
The amplification of environmental noise in population models: causes and consequences
10.1086/345784 · 2003 · External reference
Seasonality and the dynamics of infectious diseases
10.1111/j.1461-0248.2005.00879.x · 2006 · External reference
Demography in an increasingly variable world
10.1016/j.tree.2005.11.018 · 2006 · External reference
Stochastic differential equations with reflecting boundary condition in convex regions
10.32917/hmj/1206135203 · 1979 · External reference
Reproduction numbers and sub-threshold endemic equilibria for compartmental models of disease transmission
10.1016/s0025-5564(02)00108-6 · 2002 · External reference
On the definition and the computation of the basic reproduction ratio R0 in models for infectious diseases in heterogeneous populations
10.1007/bf00178324 · 1990 · External reference
A new numerical scheme for a class of reflected stochastic differential equations
10.1515/mcma-2013-0011 · 2013 · External reference
Epidemic modelling: aspects where stochasticity matters
10.1016/j.mbs.2009.10.001 · 2009 · External reference
On the benefits of flattening the curve: A perspective
10.1016/j.mbs.2020.108389 · 2020 · External reference
Strategies for mitigating an influenza pandemic
10.1038/nature04795 · 2006 · External reference
Julia: A Fresh Approach to Numerical Computing
10.1137/141000671 · 2017 · External reference
Unresolved reference
External reference