Research graph
References from Identifying COVID-19 peaks using early warning signals. Local targets link to admitted publications; unresolved targets remain external evidence.
WHO declares COVID-19 a pandemic
2020 · External reference
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Effectiveness assessment of non-pharmaceutical interventions: lessons learned from the COVID-19 pandemic
10.1016/s2468-2667(23)00046-4 · 2023 · External reference
Non-pharmaceutical interventions during the COVID-19 pandemic: a review
10.1016/j.physrep.2021.02.001 · 2021 · External reference
A global panel database of pandemic policies (Oxford COVID-19 Government Response Tracker)
10.1038/s41562-021-01079-8 · 2021 · External reference
Subsidising the spread of COVID-19: Evidence from the UK’S Eat-Out-to-Help-Out Scheme*
10.1093/ej/ueab074 · 2021 · External reference
Early warning signals of extinction in deteriorating environments
10.1038/nature09389 · 2010 · External reference
Early warning signals of infectious disease transitions: a review
10.1098/rsif.2021.0555 · 2021 · External reference
The potential of resilience indicators to anticipate infectious disease outbreaks, a systematic review and guide
10.1371/journal.pgph.0002253 · 2023 · External reference
10.1515/9781400841035
10.1515/9781400841035 · 2008 · External reference
A mathematical framework for critical transitions: Bifurcations, fast–slow systems and stochastic dynamics
10.1016/j.physd.2011.02.012 · 2011 · External reference
Theory of early warning signals of disease emergenceand leading indicators of elimination
10.1007/s12080-013-0185-5 · 2013 · External reference
Early warning signals also precede non-catastrophic transitions
10.1111/j.1600-0706.2012.20838.x · 2012 · External reference
Anticipating critical transitions
10.1126/science.1225244 · 2012 · External reference
Early-warning signals for critical transitions
10.1038/nature08227 · 2009 · External reference
Overlapping timescales obscure early warning signals of the second COVID-19 wave
2022 · External reference
Anticipating the emergence of infectious diseases
10.1098/rsif.2017.0115 · 2017 · External reference
Anticipating epidemic transitions with imperfect data
10.1371/journal.pcbi.1006204 · 2018 · External reference
The statistics of epidemic transitions
10.1371/journal.pcbi.1006917 · 2019 · External reference
Leading indicators of mosquito-borne disease elimination
10.1007/s12080-015-0285-5 · 2016 · External reference
Forecasting infectious disease emergence subject to seasonal forcing
10.1186/s12976-017-0063-8 · 2017 · External reference
Early warning signal reliability varies with COVID-19 waves
10.1098/rsbl.2021.0487 · 2021 · External reference
Robustness of early warning signals for catastrophic and non-catastrophic transitions
10.1111/oik.05172 · 2018 · External reference
Performance of early warning signals for disease re-emergence: a case study on COVID-19 data
10.1371/journal.pcbi.1009958 · 2022 · External reference
Detecting critical slowing down in high-dimensional epidemiological systems
10.1371/journal.pcbi.1007679 · 2020 · External reference
Anticipating epidemic transitions in metapopulations with multivariate spectral similarity
10.1007/s11071-023-08727-w · 2023 · External reference
Predicting local COVID-19 outbreaks and infectious disease epidemics based on landscape network entropy
10.1016/j.scib.2021.03.022 · 2021 · External reference
Anticipating the novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic
10.3389/fpubh.2020.569669 · 2020 · External reference
The problem of detrending when analysing potential indicators of disease elimination
10.1016/j.jtbi.2019.04.011 · 2019 · External reference
Approximation and inference methods for stochastic biochemical kinetics—a tutorial review
10.1088/1751-8121/aa54d9 · 2017 · External reference
Unresolved reference
2007 · External reference
Prospects for detecting early warning signals in discrete event sequence data: application to epidemiological incidence data
10.1371/journal.pcbi.1007836 · 2020 · External reference
Extended compartmental model for modeling COVID-19 epidemic in Slovenia
10.1038/s41598-022-21612-7 · 2022 · External reference
A model for COVID-19 with isolation, quarantine and testing as control measures
10.1016/j.epidem.2021.100437 · 2021 · External reference
Reproductive number of coronavirus: a systematic review and meta-analysis based on global level evidence
10.1371/journal.pone.0242128 · 2020 · External reference
Incubation period of COVID-19 caused by unique SARS-CoV-2 strains: a systematic review and meta-analysis
2022 · External reference
Estimation of the incubation period and generation time of SARS-CoV-2 Alpha and Delta variants from contact tracing data
2022 · External reference
SARS-CoV-2 incubation period across variants of concern, individual factors, and circumstances of infection in France: a case series analysis from the ComCor study
10.1016/s2666-5247(23)00005-8 · 2023 · External reference
Exact stochastic simulation of coupled chemical reactions
10.1021/j100540a008 · 1977 · External reference
The effective reproductive number of the Omicron variant of SARS-CoV-2 is several times relative to Delta
2022 · External reference
Quantifying competitive advantages of mutant strains in a population involving importation and mass vaccination rollout
2021 · External reference
Disentangling reporting and disease transmission
10.1007/s12080-018-0390-3 · 2019 · External reference
Covid-19 vaccine effectiveness against the omicron (B.1.1.529) Variant
10.1056/nejmoa2119451 · 2022 · External reference
Vaccine effectiveness against SARS-CoV-2 infection or COVID-19 hospitalization with the Alpha, Delta, or Omicron SARS-CoV-2 variant: a nationwide Danish cohort study
2022 · External reference
Clinical severity of, and effectiveness of mRNA vaccines against, covid-19 from omicron, delta, and alpha SARS-CoV-2 variants in the United States: prospective observational study
2022 · External reference
Modelling the impact of the tier system on SARS-CoV-2 transmission in the UK between the first and second national lockdowns
10.1136/bmjopen-2021-050346 · 2021 · External reference
New variant of SARS-CoV-2 in UK causes surge of COVID-19
10.1016/s2213-2600(21)00005-9 · 2021 · External reference
School reopening without robust COVID-19 mitigation risks accelerating the pandemic
10.1016/s0140-6736(21)00622-x · 2021 · External reference
Life in lockdown: a longitudinal study investigating the impact of the UK COVID-19 lockdown measures on lifestyle behaviours and mental health
10.1186/s12889-022-13888-1 · 2022 · External reference
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The origins and molecular evolution of SARS-CoV-2 lineage B.1.1.7 in the UK
10.1093/ve/veac080 · 2022 · External reference
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Early warning signals of ecological transitions: methods for spatial patterns
10.1371/journal.pone.0092097 · 2014 · External reference
Spatial variance and spatial skewness: leading indicators of regime shifts in spatial ecological systems
10.1007/s12080-008-0033-1 · 2008 · External reference
Eigenvalues of the covariance matrix as early warning signals for critical transitions in ecological systems
10.1038/s41598-019-38961-5 · 2019 · External reference
10.1093/oso/9780198824282.003.0015
10.1093/oso/9780198824282.003.0015 · External reference
10.1101/2022.05.27.22275693
10.1101/2022.05.27.22275693 · External reference
Estimation and worldwide monitoring of the effective reproductive number of SARS-CoV-2
10.7554/elife.71345 · 2022 · External reference
A new framework and software to estimate time-varying reproduction numbers during epidemics
10.1093/aje/kwt133 · 2013 · External reference
Alternatives to resilience for measuring the responses of ecological systems to perturbations
10.1890/0012-9658(1997)078[0653:atrfmt]2.0.co;2 · 1997 · External reference
Reactivity and transient dynamics of predator–prey and food web models
10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2004.05.001 · 2004 · External reference
Transient indicators of tipping points in infectious diseases
10.1098/rsif.2020.0094 · 2020 · External reference
Exploring the role of the potential surface in the behaviour of early warning signals
10.1016/j.jtbi.2022.111269 · 2022 · External reference
Dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 infection hospitalisation and infection fatality ratios over 23 months in England
10.1371/journal.pbio.3002118 · 2023 · External reference
Waiting time to infectious disease emergence
10.1098/rsif.2016.0540 · 2016 · External reference
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