Evaluating GPCR modeling and docking strategies in the era of deep learning-based protein structure prediction

While deep learning (DL) has brought a revolution in the protein structure prediction field, still an important question remains how the revolution can be transferred to advances in structure-based drug discovery. Because the lessons from the recent GPCR dock challenge were inconclusive primarily due to the size of the dataset, in this work we further elaborated on 70 diverse GPCR complexes bound to either small molecules or peptides to investigate the best-practice modeling and docking strategies for GPCR drug discovery. From our quantitative analysis, it is shown that substantial improvements in docking and virtual screening have been possible by the advance in DL-based protein structure predictions with respect to the expected results from the combination of best pre-DL tools. The success rate of docking on DL-based model structures approaches that of cross-docking on experimental structures, showing over 30% improvement from the best pre-DL protocols. This amount of performance could be achieved only when two modeling points were considered properly: 1) correct functional-state modeling of receptors and 2) receptor-flexible docking. Best-practice modeling strategies and the model confidence estimation metric suggested in this work may serve as a guideline for future computer-aided GPCR drug discovery scenarios.