Model the transmission dynamics of COVID-19 propagation with public health intervention

In this work, a researcher develops SHEIQRD (Susceptible-Stay-at-home-Exposed-Infected-Quarantine-Recovery-Death) coronavirus pandemic, spread model. The disease-free and endemic equilibrium points are computed and analyzed. The basic reproduction number R0 is acquired, and its sensitivity analysis conducted. COVID-19 pandemic spread dies out when R0≤1 and persists in the community whenever R0>1. Efficient stay-at-home rate, high coverage of precise identification and isolation of exposed and infected individuals, reduction of transmission, and stay-at-home return rate can mitigate COVID-19 pandemic. Finally, theoretical analysis and numerical results are shown to be consistent.