The association between HIV pretreatment drug resistance and virological outcomes in children and adults in sub-Saharan Africa: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Introduction Pretreatment drug resistance (PDR) could occur in antiretroviral treatment (ART) naïve individuals, those previously exposed to ART, or individuals re-initiating ARV after a long period of interruption. Few studies have shown its association with virological outcomes, although inconsistent. The objective of this review was to provide a synthesis of the association between PDR and virological outcomes (virological failure or suppression). Methods This report is presented following the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines. The method was subdivided into three main phases: record identification, screening, and report inclusion. Record identification consisted of an initial search with search term “HIV pretreatment drug resistance”. Another search was done using terms “Pretreatment drug resistance OR pre-treatment drug resistance OR Pretreatment drug resist* OR pre-treatment drug resist* OR pretreatment antiretroviral resistance OR pretreatment medic* OR pretreatment medic* resist*” and a list of all the countries in sub-Saharan Africa. After the electronic search, studies were screened from full list based on their title and abstract and then full articles retrieved and studies were assessed based on set criteria. Inclusion criteria involved observational studies that report the association between PDR and virological failure. Data from trials that reported the association were also included. Published articles like modelling studies and reviews, and studies with data that had been previously included in the review were excluded. The Mantel Haenszel method with odds ratios was used for synthesis (meta-analyses) with the weights of each study which depends on the number of events and totals. Results A total of 733 records(studies) were obtained from all database search of which 74 reported on PDR, virological outcomes in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). Out of the 74 articles, 11 were excluded and 26 did not explicitly report data needed, and 5 did not meet the inclusion criteria. Of the remaining 32 studies, 19 studies that had complete data on the number of participants with PDR and no PDR according to virological failure (VF) were included in the metanalyses. The pooled results from eleven (13) of these studies showed those with PDR had higher odds of virological failure compared to those without PDR OR 3.64[95% CI 2.93, 4.52]. The result was similar when stratified in adults and in children. In six (6) studies that had Virological suppression (VS) as outcome, there was a reduction in the odds of VS in those with PDR compared to those without PDR, OR 0.42 (95% CI 0.30, 0.58). Conclusion In conclusion, this systematic review indicates that PDR increases the risk of virological failure in sub-Saharan Africa. The risk could be reduced by PDR monitoring for NNRTIs and INSTIs.